NEUTRAL — WATCH
No clear whale direction for CAT. Bullish and bearish signals roughly cancel out. Insiders are net buyers (335,049 shares bought vs 194,876 sold) — bullish conviction from management. Strong institutional ownership at 73.0% with 2 of 10 top holders actively accumulating this quarter.
Action Plan
- Hold existing positions — no strong directional signal
- Wait for clearer whale activity before adding
- Monitor next earnings for institutional positioning changes
📈 Options Flow 期权异动
Unusual options volume vs open interest. High volume/OI ratio signals whale positioning. Put/Call ratio indicates directional bias.
PUT / CALL RATIO
0 (Bullish)1.02.0+ (Bearish)
1.13
LEAN BEARISH
High Volume Contracts — Vol > 500 (10 contracts)
CALL$9002026-05-012,565
PUT$6402026-05-151,475
PUT$5452026-05-221,290
CALL$9502026-05-15923
CALL$9102026-05-01734
CALL$9002026-05-08702
CALL$8802026-05-01675
PUT$8402026-05-01603
CALL$8702026-05-01601
CALL$9152026-05-01584
- Put/Call volume ratio: 1.13 (bearish)
- Total options volume: 42,560 (calls 19,935 / puts 22,625)
👤 Insider Trading 内部交易
SEC Form 4 filings — officer and director buys/sells in the last 90 days. Net buying is a strong bullish signal.
SHARES BOUGHT (6m)
335,049
Recent Insider Transactions (0 buys / 1 sells / 9 grants)
SELLCREED JOSEPH E2,5002026-03-05
GRANTPAMBIANCHI CHRISTINE MICHAEL1,1552026-03-02
GRANTJOHNSON DENISE C.1,6502026-03-02
GRANTBONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN1,7492026-03-02
GRANTSHURMAN RODNEY MICHAEL1,3202026-03-02
GRANTDE LANGE BOB1,6502026-03-02
GRANTCREED JOSEPH E4,9502026-03-02
GRANTSCHAUPP WILLIAM E1022026-03-02
GRANTKAISER JASON1,6502026-03-02
GRANTOWENS DEREK1,3862026-03-02
- Insider buying: 335,049 shares
- Insider selling: 194,876 shares
- 51 Form 4 filings in last 90 days
- Net insider BUYING — bullish signal
🏦 Smart Money Flow 机构资金流向
Quarter-over-quarter position changes from 13F filings. Shows whether institutional investors are accumulating (buying more) or distributing (selling) — the strongest signal of whale conviction.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
73.0%
ACCUMULATION vs DISTRIBUTION
20% ACCUMULATING
80% DISTRIBUTING
NET SHARES FLOW
+2,720,041
Institutional Position Changes (QoQ)
▲ ADDINGBlackrock Inc.7.78%+5.6%+1,923,409
▲ ADDINGBank of America Corporation1.45%+15.2%+890,670
▬ HOLDVanguard Group Inc9.97%+1.0%+441,063
▬ HOLDState Street Corporation7.61%+1.1%+385,038
▬ HOLDGeode Capital Management, LLC2.28%+0.9%+94,639
▬ HOLDFisher Asset Management, LLC2.04%+0.6%+53,804
▬ HOLDGates Foundation Trust1.37%0.0%0
▬ HOLDState Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co3.75%-0.5%-87,593
▬ HOLDMorgan Stanley1.52%-2.2%-162,114
▼ TRIMMINGPrice (T.Rowe) Associates Inc1.29%-12.0%-818,875
ETF & Mutual Fund Flow (1 adding / 0 selling)
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Mar-0.3%-38,337
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund+2.1%+242,743
▬ HOLDiShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF+0.2%+14,913
▬ HOLDFidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 In+0.2%+10,107
▬ HOLDSPDR DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE ETF TRT-Sta-0.8%-42,833
▬ HOLDSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST-State Street SPDR S&P -2.0%-112,886
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Value Index Fun+2.4%+99,705
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INSTITUTIONAL INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard I-1.6%-44,780
▲ ADDINGWASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND+7.7%+192,629
▬ HOLDVANGUARD SPECIALIZED FUNDS-Vanguard Dividend +1.2%+30,782
- Institutional ownership: 73.0%
- Smart money flow: 2 adding / 1 selling / 7 hold
- Net shares added by institutions: +2,720,041
- Biggest mover: Blackrock Inc. added 1,923,409 shares (+5.6%)
🕶 Short Interest & Dark Pool 做空 & 暗池
Short interest as % of float and days-to-cover. Rising SI = bearish pressure. High SI + decreasing = shorts covering (bullish). Squeeze risk rated by SI level.
SHORT INTEREST (% OF FLOAT)
0%10%20%30%+
- Short interest: 1.6% of float
- Days to cover: 3.3
- Short interest MoM: ↓ 0.8%
- Squeeze risk: MINIMAL