NEUTRAL — WATCH
No clear whale direction for LRCX. Bullish and bearish signals roughly cancel out. Insiders are net buyers (939,006 shares bought vs 358,446 sold) — bullish conviction from management. Strong institutional ownership at 88.8% with 6 of 10 top holders actively accumulating this quarter.
Action Plan
- Hold existing positions — no strong directional signal
- Wait for clearer whale activity before adding
- Monitor next earnings for institutional positioning changes
📈 Options Flow 期权异动
Unusual options volume vs open interest. High volume/OI ratio signals whale positioning. Put/Call ratio indicates directional bias.
PUT / CALL RATIO
0 (Bullish)1.02.0+ (Bearish)
1.37
BEARISH
High Volume Contracts — Vol > 500 (10 contracts)
PUT$302026-06-182,255
PUT$2902026-05-151,292
CALL$3302026-05-151,083
PUT$2002026-05-221,019
PUT$2802026-05-15988
CALL$3052026-05-22823
CALL$3082026-05-22756
PUT$1402026-05-15750
PUT$1452026-05-15750
PUT$2402026-05-15576
- Put/Call volume ratio: 1.37 (bearish)
- Total options volume: 25,493 (calls 10,762 / puts 14,731)
👤 Insider Trading 内部交易
SEC Form 4 filings — officer and director buys/sells in the last 90 days. Net buying is a strong bullish signal.
SHARES BOUGHT (6m)
939,006
Recent Insider Transactions (0 buys / 6 sells / 4 grants)
SELLFERNANDES NEIL J18,1702026-05-01
SELLHARTER AVA6,0102026-04-27
SELLHARTER AVA1,5002026-03-04
SELLBETTINGER DOUGLAS R50,0572026-03-04
SELLHARTER AVA4,0002026-03-02
SELLBETTINGER DOUGLAS R40,3292026-03-02
GRANTHARTER AVA7,1062026-02-27
GRANTVAHEDI VAHID9,0532026-02-27
GRANTVARADARAJAN SESHASAYEE12,5472026-02-27
GRANTFERNANDES NEIL J8,2742026-02-27
- Insider buying: 939,006 shares
- Insider selling: 358,446 shares
- 16 Form 4 filings in last 90 days
- Net insider BUYING — bullish signal
🏦 Smart Money Flow 机构资金流向
Quarter-over-quarter position changes from 13F filings. Shows whether institutional investors are accumulating (buying more) or distributing (selling) — the strongest signal of whale conviction.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
88.8%
ACCUMULATION vs DISTRIBUTION
60% ACCUMULATING
40% DISTRIBUTING
NET SHARES FLOW
+37,454,527
Institutional Position Changes (QoQ)
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Capital Management LLC6.49%NEW+40,577,872
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.96%NEW+18,530,481
▲ ADDINGBlackrock Inc.10.74%+8.1%+10,002,690
▲ ADDINGFMR, LLC2.13%+14.3%+3,329,941
▲ ADDINGNORGES BANK1.70%+9.4%+1,831,588
▲ ADDINGInvesco Ltd.1.82%+7.7%+1,637,511
▬ HOLDGeode Capital Management, LLC2.70%+0.4%+127,754
▬ HOLDState Street Corporation4.77%-0.2%-131,598
▼ TRIMMINGAmeriprise Financial, Inc.1.86%-8.2%-2,065,796
▼▼ HEAVY SELLJPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.88%-60.8%-36,385,916
ETF & Mutual Fund Flow (0 adding / 1 selling)
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Mar-0.9%-370,483
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund+1.4%+449,619
▬ HOLDInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 1+1.6%+420,913
▬ HOLDiShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF+0.2%+40,029
▬ HOLDFidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 In-0.2%-36,764
▬ HOLDSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST-State Street SPDR S&P -2.0%-302,960
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fu-4.6%-648,917
▬ HOLDSELECT SECTOR SPDR TRT-State Street Technolog-3.9%-377,194
▼▼ HEAVY SEVanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Semiconductor ETF-21.2%-2,400,263
▬ HOLDVANGUARD WORLD FUND-Vanguard Information Tech+2.5%+212,561
- Institutional ownership: 88.8%
- Smart money flow: 6 adding / 2 selling / 2 hold
- Net shares added by institutions: +37,454,527
- Biggest mover: Vanguard Capital Management LLC added 40,577,872 shares (+100.0%)
🕶 Short Interest & Dark Pool 做空 & 暗池
Short interest as % of float and days-to-cover. Rising SI = bearish pressure. High SI + decreasing = shorts covering (bullish). Squeeze risk rated by SI level.
SHORT INTEREST (% OF FLOAT)
0%10%20%30%+
FLOAT SHARES
1,245,506,187
- Short interest: 2.5% of float
- Days to cover: 3.1
- Short interest MoM: ↑ 2.1%
- Squeeze risk: MINIMAL