NEUTRAL — WATCH
No clear whale direction for LRCX. Bullish and bearish signals roughly cancel out. Insiders are net buyers (939,006 shares bought vs 318,366 sold) — bullish conviction from management. Strong institutional ownership at 88.1% with 5 of 10 top holders actively accumulating this quarter.
Action Plan
- Hold existing positions — no strong directional signal
- Wait for clearer whale activity before adding
- Monitor next earnings for institutional positioning changes
📈 Options Flow 期权异动
Unusual options volume vs open interest. High volume/OI ratio signals whale positioning. Put/Call ratio indicates directional bias.
PUT / CALL RATIO
0 (Bullish)1.02.0+ (Bearish)
1.37
BEARISH
High Volume Contracts — Vol > 500 (9 contracts)
PUT$1252026-05-224,250
PUT$302026-06-182,255
CALL$3002026-05-222,140
CALL$2852026-05-221,589
PUT$2452026-05-291,080
PUT$2452026-05-22954
CALL$3002026-06-18944
CALL$2702026-06-18768
PUT$2302026-06-05722
- Put/Call volume ratio: 1.37 (bearish)
- Total options volume: 30,714 (calls 12,939 / puts 17,775)
👤 Insider Trading 内部交易
SEC Form 4 filings — officer and director buys/sells in the last 90 days. Net buying is a strong bullish signal.
SHARES BOUGHT (6m)
939,006
Recent Insider Transactions (0 buys / 6 sells / 4 grants)
SELLFERNANDES NEIL J18,1702026-05-01
SELLHARTER AVA6,0102026-04-27
SELLBETTINGER DOUGLAS R50,0572026-03-04
SELLHARTER AVA1,5002026-03-04
SELLBETTINGER DOUGLAS R40,3292026-03-02
SELLHARTER AVA4,0002026-03-02
GRANTFERNANDES NEIL J8,2742026-02-27
GRANTCORREIA CHRISTINA16,1592026-02-27
GRANTARCHER TIMOTHY M51,0532026-02-27
GRANTHARTER AVA7,1062026-02-27
- Insider buying: 939,006 shares
- Insider selling: 318,366 shares
- 16 Form 4 filings in last 90 days
- Net insider BUYING — bullish signal
🏦 Smart Money Flow 机构资金流向
Quarter-over-quarter position changes from 13F filings. Shows whether institutional investors are accumulating (buying more) or distributing (selling) — the strongest signal of whale conviction.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
88.1%
ACCUMULATION vs DISTRIBUTION
50% ACCUMULATING
50% DISTRIBUTING
NET SHARES FLOW
+73,693,887
Institutional Position Changes (QoQ)
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Capital Management LLC6.49%NEW+40,577,872
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.96%NEW+18,530,481
▲▲ HEAVY BUYJPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.62%+39.2%+9,203,818
▲▲ HEAVY BUYFMR, LLC2.68%+25.8%+6,894,261
▲ ADDINGInvesco Ltd.1.94%+6.3%+1,433,241
▬ HOLDGeode Capital Management, LLC2.81%+4.2%+1,427,556
▬ HOLDMorgan Stanley1.59%+0.1%+23,834
▬ HOLDState Street Corporation4.73%-0.9%-525,214
▬ HOLDBlackrock Inc.10.62%-1.1%-1,409,751
▼ TRIMMINGAmeriprise Financial, Inc.1.66%-10.6%-2,462,211
ETF & Mutual Fund Flow (1 adding / 0 selling)
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Mar-0.9%-370,483
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund+1.4%+449,619
▬ HOLDInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 1+1.6%+420,913
▬ HOLDiShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF+0.2%+40,029
▬ HOLDFidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 In-0.2%-36,764
▬ HOLDSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST-State Street SPDR S&P +3.0%+440,055
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Growth Index Fu-4.6%-648,917
▬ HOLDSELECT SECTOR SPDR TRT-State Street Technolog+2.3%+214,560
▲ ADDINGVanEck ETF Trust-VanEck Semiconductor ETF+7.8%+698,634
▬ HOLDVANGUARD WORLD FUND-Vanguard Information Tech+2.5%+212,561
- Institutional ownership: 88.1%
- Smart money flow: 5 adding / 1 selling / 4 hold
- Net shares added by institutions: +73,693,887
- Biggest mover: Vanguard Capital Management LLC added 40,577,872 shares (+100.0%)
🕶 Short Interest & Dark Pool 做空 & 暗池
Short interest as % of float and days-to-cover. Rising SI = bearish pressure. High SI + decreasing = shorts covering (bullish). Squeeze risk rated by SI level.
SHORT INTEREST (% OF FLOAT)
0%10%20%30%+
FLOAT SHARES
1,245,418,647
- Short interest: 2.5% of float
- Days to cover: 3.1
- Short interest MoM: ↑ 2.1%
- Squeeze risk: MINIMAL