NEUTRAL — WATCH
No clear whale direction for CAT. Bullish and bearish signals roughly cancel out. Insiders are net buyers (405,183 shares bought vs 245,920 sold) — bullish conviction from management. Strong institutional ownership at 72.9% with 2 of 10 top holders actively accumulating this quarter.
Action Plan
- Hold existing positions — no strong directional signal
- Wait for clearer whale activity before adding
- Monitor next earnings for institutional positioning changes
📈 Options Flow 期权异动
Unusual options volume vs open interest. High volume/OI ratio signals whale positioning. Put/Call ratio indicates directional bias.
PUT / CALL RATIO
0 (Bullish)1.02.0+ (Bearish)
1.14
LEAN BEARISH
High Volume Contracts — Vol > 500 (10 contracts)
PUT$7402026-06-181,922
CALL$9502026-06-051,597
PUT$4502026-06-181,180
CALL$9302026-06-05962
PUT$8852026-06-12794
CALL$10002026-06-05785
CALL$9452026-06-05616
CALL$10002026-06-12612
PUT$5402026-06-05598
CALL$9202026-06-05526
- Put/Call volume ratio: 1.14 (bearish)
- Total options volume: 30,911 (calls 14,450 / puts 16,461)
👤 Insider Trading 内部交易
SEC Form 4 filings — officer and director buys/sells in the last 90 days. Net buying is a strong bullish signal.
SHARES BOUGHT (6m)
405,183
Recent Insider Transactions (1 buys / 8 sells / 1 grants)
SELLJOHNSON DENISE C.12,6052026-05-14
SELLSCHAUPP WILLIAM E3602026-05-13
SELLJOHNSON DENISE C.6,1962026-05-13
SELLFASSINO ANTHONY D.16,2832026-05-11
GRANTEPLEY KYLE JOSEPH5152026-05-08
SELLFASSINO ANTHONY D.9,1522026-05-06
SELLDE LANGE BOB24,2222026-05-06
SELLBONFIELD ANDREW ROBERT JOHN15,6742026-05-06
SELLSHURMAN RODNEY MICHAEL5,6392026-05-05
BUYMACLENNAN DAVID W2502026-05-04
- Insider buying: 405,183 shares
- Insider selling: 245,920 shares
- 23 Form 4 filings in last 90 days
- Net insider BUYING — bullish signal
🏦 Smart Money Flow 机构资金流向
Quarter-over-quarter position changes from 13F filings. Shows whether institutional investors are accumulating (buying more) or distributing (selling) — the strongest signal of whale conviction.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
72.9%
ACCUMULATION vs DISTRIBUTION
20% ACCUMULATING
80% DISTRIBUTING
NET SHARES FLOW
+19,445,310
Institutional Position Changes (QoQ)
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Capital Management LLC6.56%NEW+15,117,226
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.54%NEW+5,852,945
▬ HOLDBlackrock Inc.8.07%+2.7%+959,561
▬ HOLDGeode Capital Management, LLC2.42%+4.9%+517,754
▬ HOLDFisher Asset Management, LLC2.12%+3.0%+282,893
▬ HOLDMorgan Stanley1.63%+3.6%+262,701
▬ HOLDGates Foundation Trust1.38%0.0%0
▬ HOLDNorthern Trust Corporation1.23%-2.9%-172,616
▬ HOLDState Street Corporation7.57%-1.4%-509,619
▼ TRIMMINGState Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co3.16%-16.4%-2,865,535
ETF & Mutual Fund Flow (1 adding / 0 selling)
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Mar+0.5%+67,652
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund+0.2%+21,242
▬ HOLDiShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF+0.6%+34,704
▬ HOLDFidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 In+0.3%+20,796
▬ HOLDSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST-State Street SPDR S&P +2.6%+143,073
▬ HOLDSPDR DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE ETF TRT-Sta-3.8%-209,205
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Value Index Fun-0.1%-3,014
▲ ADDINGWASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND+7.7%+192,629
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INSTITUTIONAL INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard I-2.3%-62,310
▬ HOLDSELECT SECTOR SPDR TRT-State Street Industria-0.5%-12,789
- Institutional ownership: 72.9%
- Smart money flow: 2 adding / 1 selling / 7 hold
- Net shares added by institutions: +19,445,310
- Biggest mover: Vanguard Capital Management LLC added 15,117,226 shares (+100.0%)
🕶 Short Interest & Dark Pool 做空 & 暗池
Short interest as % of float and days-to-cover. Rising SI = bearish pressure. High SI + decreasing = shorts covering (bullish). Squeeze risk rated by SI level.
SHORT INTEREST (% OF FLOAT)
0%10%20%30%+
- Short interest: 2.0% of float
- Days to cover: 3.4
- Short interest MoM: ↑ 10.0%
- Squeeze risk: MINIMAL