LEAN BEARISH
Whales showing caution on CAT. Distribution signals outweigh accumulation. Insiders are net buyers (406,871 shares bought vs 245,920 sold) — bullish conviction from management. Strong institutional ownership at 72.9% with 3 of 10 top holders actively accumulating this quarter.
Action Plan
- Avoid new long positions until whale activity shifts
- Consider trimming if position size is large
- Set alerts for insider buying or SI decrease as reversal signals
📈 Options Flow 期权异动
Unusual options volume vs open interest. High volume/OI ratio signals whale positioning. Put/Call ratio indicates directional bias.
PUT / CALL RATIO
0 (Bullish)1.02.0+ (Bearish)
2.17
BEARISH
Unusual Strikes — Vol/OI > 3x (2C / 8P)
PUT$7102026-07-102992149.5x
PUT$4602026-06-265024125.5x
CALL$10402026-07-02433672.2x
PUT$4552026-06-26294558.8x
PUT$7402026-07-021,5823545.2x
PUT$8352026-07-10203540.6x
PUT$7102026-07-0270235.0x
PUT$9322026-06-1833133.0x
CALL$12102026-07-2432132.0x
PUT$4502026-06-262931519.5x
High Volume Contracts — Vol > 500 (7 contracts)
PUT$7402026-07-021,582
CALL$10002026-06-181,506
PUT$4502026-07-17897
CALL$9502026-06-18758
PUT$7402026-06-26741
PUT$4002026-07-17527
PUT$4602026-06-26502
- Put/Call volume ratio: 2.17 (bearish)
- Total options volume: 25,025 (calls 7,906 / puts 17,119)
- Top unusual: PUT $710.0 exp 2026-07-10 — vol/OI 149.5x
- 52 unusual strikes detected (17C / 35P)
👤 Insider Trading 内部交易
SEC Form 4 filings — officer and director buys/sells in the last 90 days. Net buying is a strong bullish signal.
SHARES BOUGHT (6m)
406,871
Recent Insider Transactions (0 buys / 2 sells / 8 grants)
GRANTJOHNSON GERALD2112026-06-10
GRANTFISH JAMES C JR2112026-06-10
GRANTMARKS JUDITH FRAN2112026-06-10
GRANTKEENE NAZZIC S2112026-06-10
GRANTWILKINS RAYFORDJR2112026-06-10
GRANTSCHWAB SUSAN C2112026-06-10
GRANTREED-KLAGES DEBRA L2112026-06-10
GRANTMACLENNAN DAVID W2112026-06-10
SELLJOHNSON DENISE C.12,6052026-05-14
SELLSCHAUPP WILLIAM E3602026-05-13
- Insider buying: 406,871 shares
- Insider selling: 245,920 shares
- 27 Form 4 filings in last 90 days
- Net insider BUYING — bullish signal
🏦 Smart Money Flow 机构资金流向
Quarter-over-quarter position changes from 13F filings. Shows whether institutional investors are accumulating (buying more) or distributing (selling) — the strongest signal of whale conviction.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
72.9%
ACCUMULATION vs DISTRIBUTION
30% ACCUMULATING
70% DISTRIBUTING
NET SHARES FLOW
+19,607,118
Institutional Position Changes (QoQ)
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Capital Management LLC6.56%NEW+15,117,226
★ NEW POSITIONVanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.54%NEW+5,852,945
▲ ADDINGMorgan Stanley1.63%+6.0%+424,509
▬ HOLDBlackrock Inc.8.07%+2.7%+959,561
▬ HOLDGeode Capital Management, LLC2.42%+4.9%+517,754
▬ HOLDFisher Asset Management, LLC2.12%+3.0%+282,893
▬ HOLDGates Foundation Trust1.38%0.0%0
▬ HOLDNorthern Trust Corporation1.23%-2.9%-172,616
▬ HOLDState Street Corporation7.57%-1.4%-509,619
▼ TRIMMINGState Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co3.16%-16.4%-2,865,535
ETF & Mutual Fund Flow (1 adding / 0 selling)
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Total Stock Mar+0.5%+67,652
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard 500 Index Fund+0.2%+21,242
▬ HOLDiShares Trust-iShares Core S&P 500 ETF+0.6%+34,704
▬ HOLDFidelity Concord Street Trust-Fidelity 500 In+0.3%+20,796
▬ HOLDSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST-State Street SPDR S&P +2.6%+143,073
▬ HOLDSPDR DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE ETF TRT-Sta-3.8%-209,205
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard Value Index Fun-0.1%-3,014
▲ ADDINGWASHINGTON MUTUAL INVESTORS FUND+7.7%+192,629
▬ HOLDVANGUARD INSTITUTIONAL INDEX FUNDS-Vanguard I-2.3%-62,310
▬ HOLDSELECT SECTOR SPDR TRT-State Street Industria-0.5%-12,789
- Institutional ownership: 72.9%
- Smart money flow: 3 adding / 1 selling / 6 hold
- Net shares added by institutions: +19,607,118
- Biggest mover: Vanguard Capital Management LLC added 15,117,226 shares (+100.0%)
🕶 Short Interest & Dark Pool 做空 & 暗池
Short interest as % of float and days-to-cover. Rising SI = bearish pressure. High SI + decreasing = shorts covering (bullish). Squeeze risk rated by SI level.
SHORT INTEREST (% OF FLOAT)
0%10%20%30%+
- Short interest: 2.0% of float
- Days to cover: 3.0
- Short interest MoM: ↓ 1.0%
- Squeeze risk: MINIMAL